PhD-position ' Global flood risk assessment and behavioral modelling'
FTE 1.0
Unit Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences
Publication date 12 March 2015
Closing date 26 March 2015
Vacancy number 15071
Unit Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences
Publication date 12 March 2015
Closing date 26 March 2015
Vacancy number 15071
VU University Amsterdam is one of the leading institutions for higher education in Europe and aims to be inspiring, innovative, and committed to societal welfare. It comprises twelve faculties and has teaching facilities for 25.000 students.
The Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences (FALW) conducts research in the fields of life, health, environmental and earth sciences. It also offers a broad range of Bachelor and Master programmes that are closely connected to our cutting-edge research activities. The international cross-border collaborations with leading academic institutions and partners enhances the impact of our research results.
The Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM) has a vacancy for a PhD student for the research project:
'Global flood risk assessment and behavioral modelling'. The PhD position will be funded by the new NWO Vici program on global flood risk assessment.
Contents of the research
Economic losses due to weather related natural hazards continue to rise rapidly in all regions of the world. For example, extreme flood events and storm surges all have a significant impact on society, and these impacts will increase in the future through climate change and socio-economic developments. Much research to date has focused on the assessment and quantification of the natural hazard component of flood risk including the effects of climate change, which may lead to increased hazard magnitude and/or intensity in many regions. However, there is a growing understanding that increasing exposure of people and economic assets has been the major cause of the long term increases in economic losses from weather and climate-related disasters. Some studies have investigated losses from natural disasters in the past, and others assessed future increase in risk from natural hazards using simulation models or statistical extrapolation. The validation of these flood risk models is a difficult task, since extreme weather events are rare, and empirical data is on actual losses is scarce. This research will focus on river floods, and includes 3 activities:
(1) In the first part of the research the candidate will apply the GLOFRIS flood risk simulation model to model historic flood events in different parts of the globe. The model results will be validated using hydrological information such as river discharges and possibly damage information from e.g. insurers, EM-DAT and other sources. These risk figures will be used to calculate risk based flood insurance premiums for each country at the global scale.
(2) the second part of the research, global insurance data on a global scale will be collected (market penetration, insurance type and involvement of the government). In addition, an existing empirical database of household behavior related to insurance purchase and implementation of risk reduction measures will be analyzed, and applied to different behavioral household types (from rational to boundedly rational). This will provide information on household behavior for each country on the global scale.
(3) Finally, an agent based decision model will be developed to simulate how people respond to long term changes in flood risk and government and insurance strategies for risk reduction. The model will simulate the interaction between the government, households and insurers for each country at the global scale.
Requirements
The candidate must have a Masters degree in Economics or Earth and Economy. Knowledge of agent based models, statistical methods, quantitative data-assessment, programming and simulation models is required. The position involves collaboration and communication in a larger research team of researchers from other disciplines involved in international research projects.
Appointment
The appointment will be fulltime for an initial duration of 12 months. After satisfactory evaluation of the initial appointment it will be extended for a total duration of 3 years.
Salary
Based on a full-time appointment (38 hours per week) the gross monthly salary will range from €2.042 to €2612 depending on expertise and previous experience. The Collective Employment Agreement of the Dutch Universities is applicable.
Further Information
Further information can be obtained from Prof. Dr. J. Aerts 31-(0)20-598 9528, jeroen.aerts@vu.nl and Dr. W. Botzen wouter.botzen@vu.nl
Job application
Written applications, including a CV, list of grades, two professional references and preferably a thesis or paper, should be addressed within 6 weeks after this announcement per e-mail to: Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Faculty of Earth- and Life Sciences, attn. Dr. Jeroen Aerts, De Boelelaan 1085, 1081 HV Amsterdam or per e-mail: marjolijn.staarink@vu.nl
Please mention the vacancy number in the e-mail header.
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Posted by: Hengky Kurniawan <hengkylim@ymail.com>
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